Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.039011 0.042581 0.046337 0.050585 0.055260 0.060250 0.065987
2026-02-01 0.031145 0.036047 0.041539 0.048160 0.055943 0.064824 0.075754
2026-02-08 0.025959 0.031543 0.038134 0.046521 0.056949 0.069545 0.085995
2026-02-15 0.022224 0.028132 0.035423 0.045134 0.057806 0.073887 0.096005
2026-02-22 0.020036 0.026288 0.034310 0.045435 0.060591 0.080694 0.109673
2026-03-01 0.017648 0.023875 0.032137 0.044004 0.060785 0.083922 0.118682
2026-03-08 0.015306 0.021264 0.029400 0.041449 0.059054 0.084171 0.123313
2026-03-15 0.013834 0.019700 0.027931 0.040477 0.059384 0.087246 0.132214
2026-03-22 0.013047 0.019027 0.027641 0.041141 0.062109 0.094003 0.147287
2026-03-29 0.012358 0.018427 0.027386 0.041796 0.064822 0.100916 0.163225
2026-04-05 0.011480 0.017463 0.026491 0.041361 0.065742 0.105020 0.174902
2026-04-12 0.010709 0.016599 0.025673 0.040955 0.066634 0.109098 0.186856
2026-04-19 0.009893 0.015621 0.024626 0.040133 0.066829 0.112140 0.197542
2026-04-26 0.009038 0.014519 0.023303 0.038746 0.065950 0.113274 0.204953
2026-05-03 0.008329 0.013606 0.022220 0.037675 0.065514 0.115126 0.213870
2026-05-10 0.007703 0.012784 0.021228 0.036672 0.065096 0.116942 0.222869
2026-05-17 0.007361 0.012419 0.020981 0.036958 0.067031 0.123238 0.241276
2026-05-24 0.006815 0.011663 0.020001 0.035834 0.066225 0.124249 0.249086
2026-05-31 0.006173 0.010697 0.018586 0.033798 0.063502 0.121291 0.248310
2026-06-07 0.005776 0.010142 0.017871 0.033023 0.063161 0.122998 0.257605
2026-06-14 0.005598 0.009973 0.017845 0.033557 0.065452 0.130206 0.279661
2026-06-21 0.005430 0.009811 0.017818 0.034083 0.067762 0.137652 0.303081
2026-06-28 0.005158 0.009438 0.017369 0.033734 0.068228 0.141229 0.317994